How can I run a time series forecast using a neural network?

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Aigars Petresevics
Aigars Petresevics 2020 年 11 月 4 日
回答済み: Hritika Suneja 2020 年 12 月 29 日
I have used the neural network toolbox to create and train a neural network. After that's been done, I was able to generate a script. From here, does anyone know how do I actually run the forecast? Get the predicted values for a specified period of time.
How do you specify?
The code that was generated doesn't seem to have a function in it that would do it. I have attached the code bellow.
% Solve an Input-Output Time-Series Problem with a Time Delay Neural Network
% Script generated by Neural Time Series app.
% Created 03-Nov-2020 23:33:27
%
% This script assumes these variables are defined:
%
% data - input time series.
% data_1 - target time series.
X = tonndata(data,false,false);
T = tonndata(data_1,false,false);
% Choose a Training Function
%For a list of all training functions type: help nntrain
% 'trainlm' is usually fastest.
% 'trainbr' takes longer but may be better for challenging problems.
% 'trainscg' uses less memory. Suitable in low memory situations.
trainFcn = 'trainlm'; % Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation.
% Create a Time Delay Network
inputDelays = 1:2;
hiddenLayerSize = 10;
net = timedelaynet(inputDelays,hiddenLayerSize,trainFcn);
% Choose Input and Output Pre/Post-Processing Functions
% For a list of all processing functions type: help nnprocess
net.input.processFcns = {'removeconstantrows','mapminmax'};
net.output.processFcns = {'removeconstantrows','mapminmax'};
% Prepare the Data for Training and Simulation
% The function PREPARETS prepares timeseries data for a particular network,
% shifting time by the minimum amount to fill input states and layer
% states. Using PREPARETS allows you to keep your original time series data
% unchanged, while easily customizing it for networks with differing
% numbers of delays, with open loop or closed loop feedback modes.
[x,xi,ai,t] = preparets(net,X,T);
% Setup Division of Data for Training, Validation, Testing
% For a list of all data division functions type: help nndivision
net.divideFcn = 'dividerand'; % Divide data randomly
net.divideMode = 'time'; % Divide up every sample
net.divideParam.trainRatio = 70/100;
net.divideParam.valRatio = 15/100;
net.divideParam.testRatio = 15/100;
% Choose a Performance Function
% For a list of all performance functions type: help nnperformance
net.performFcn = 'mse'; % Mean Squared Error
% Choose Plot Functions
% For a list of all plot functions type: help nnplot
net.plotFcns = {'plotperform','plottrainstate', 'ploterrhist', ...
'plotregression', 'plotresponse', 'ploterrcorr', 'plotinerrcorr'};
% Train the Network
[net,tr] = train(net,x,t,xi,ai);
% Test the Network
y = net(x,xi,ai);
e = gsubtract(t,y);
performance = perform(net,t,y)
% Recalculate Training, Validation and Test Performance
trainTargets = gmultiply(t,tr.trainMask);
valTargets = gmultiply(t,tr.valMask);
testTargets = gmultiply(t,tr.testMask);
trainPerformance = perform(net,trainTargets,y)
valPerformance = perform(net,valTargets,y)
testPerformance = perform(net,testTargets,y)
% View the Network
view(net)
% Plots
% Uncomment these lines to enable various plots.
%figure, plotperform(tr)
%figure, plottrainstate(tr)
%figure, ploterrhist(e)
%figure, plotregression(t,y)
%figure, plotresponse(t,y)
%figure, ploterrcorr(e)
%figure, plotinerrcorr(x,e)
% Step-Ahead Prediction Network
% For some applications it helps to get the prediction a timestep early.
% The original network returns predicted y(t+1) at the same time it is
% given x(t+1). For some applications such as decision making, it would
% help to have predicted y(t+1) once x(t) is available, but before the
% actual y(t+1) occurs. The network can be made to return its output a
% timestep early by removing one delay so that its minimal tap delay is now
% 0 instead of 1. The new network returns the same outputs as the original
% network, but outputs are shifted left one timestep.
nets = removedelay(net);
nets.name = [net.name ' - Predict One Step Ahead'];
view(nets)
[xs,xis,ais,ts] = preparets(nets,X,T);
ys = nets(xs,xis,ais);
stepAheadPerformance = perform(nets,ts,ys)
% Deployment
% Change the (false) values to (true) to enable the following code blocks.
% See the help for each generation function for more information.
if (false)
% Generate MATLAB function for neural network for application
% deployment in MATLAB scripts or with MATLAB Compiler and Builder
% tools, or simply to examine the calculations your trained neural
% network performs.
genFunction(net,'myNeuralNetworkFunction');
y = myNeuralNetworkFunction(x,xi,ai);
end
if (false)
% Generate a matrix-only MATLAB function for neural network code
% generation with MATLAB Coder tools.
genFunction(net,'myNeuralNetworkFunction','MatrixOnly','yes');
x1 = cell2mat(x(1,:));
xi1 = cell2mat(xi(1,:));
y = myNeuralNetworkFunction(x1,xi1);
end
if (false)
% Generate a Simulink diagram for simulation or deployment with.
% Simulink Coder tools.
gensim(net);
end
% Solve an Input-Output Time-Series Problem with a Time Delay Neural Network
% Script generated by Neural Time Series app.
% Created 03-Nov-2020 23:33:27
%
% This script assumes these variables are defined:
%
% data - input time series.
% data_1 - target time series.
X = tonndata(data,false,false);
T = tonndata(data_1,false,false);
% Choose a Training Function
% For a list of all training functions type: help nntrain
% 'trainlm' is usually fastest.
% 'trainbr' takes longer but may be better for challenging problems.
% 'trainscg' uses less memory. Suitable in low memory situations.
trainFcn = 'trainlm'; % Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation.
% Create a Time Delay Network
inputDelays = 1:2;
hiddenLayerSize = 10;
net = timedelaynet(inputDelays,hiddenLayerSize,trainFcn);
% Choose Input and Output Pre/Post-Processing Functions
% For a list of all processing functions type: help nnprocess
net.input.processFcns = {'removeconstantrows','mapminmax'};
net.output.processFcns = {'removeconstantrows','mapminmax'};
% Prepare the Data for Training and Simulation
% The function PREPARETS prepares timeseries data for a particular network,
% shifting time by the minimum amount to fill input states and layer
% states. Using PREPARETS allows you to keep your original time series data
% unchanged, while easily customizing it for networks with differing
% numbers of delays, with open loop or closed loop feedback modes.
[x,xi,ai,t] = preparets(net,X,T);
% Setup Division of Data for Training, Validation, Testing
% For a list of all data division functions type: help nndivision
net.divideFcn = 'dividerand'; % Divide data randomly
net.divideMode = 'time'; % Divide up every sample
net.divideParam.trainRatio = 70/100;
net.divideParam.valRatio = 15/100;
net.divideParam.testRatio = 15/100;
% Choose a Performance Function
% For a list of all performance functions type: help nnperformance
net.performFcn = 'mse'; % Mean Squared Error
% Choose Plot Functions
% For a list of all plot functions type: help nnplot
net.plotFcns = {'plotperform','plottrainstate', 'ploterrhist', ...
'plotregression', 'plotresponse', 'ploterrcorr', 'plotinerrcorr'};
% Train the Network
[net,tr] = train(net,x,t,xi,ai);
% Test the Network
y = net(x,xi,ai);
e = gsubtract(t,y);
performance = perform(net,t,y)
% Recalculate Training, Validation and Test Performance
trainTargets = gmultiply(t,tr.trainMask);
valTargets = gmultiply(t,tr.valMask);
testTargets = gmultiply(t,tr.testMask);
trainPerformance = perform(net,trainTargets,y)
valPerformance = perform(net,valTargets,y)
testPerformance = perform(net,testTargets,y)
% View the Network
view(net)
% Plots
%Uncomment these lines to enable various plots.
%figure, plotperform(tr)
%figure, plottrainstate(tr)
%figure, ploterrhist(e)
%figure, plotregression(t,y)
%figure, plotresponse(t,y)
%figure, ploterrcorr(e)
%figure, plotinerrcorr(x,e)
% Step-Ahead Prediction Network
% For some applications it helps to get the prediction a timestep early.
% The original network returns predicted y(t+1) at the same time it is
% given x(t+1). For some applications such as decision making, it would
% help to have predicted y(t+1) once x(t) is available, but before the
% actual y(t+1) occurs. The network can be made to return its output a
% timestep early by removing one delay so that its minimal tap delay is now
% 0 instead of 1. The new network returns the same outputs as the original
% network, but outputs are shifted left one timestep.
nets = removedelay(net);
nets.name = [net.name ' - Predict One Step Ahead'];
view(nets)
[xs,xis,ais,ts] = preparets(nets,X,T);
ys = nets(xs,xis,ais);
stepAheadPerformance = perform(nets,ts,ys)
% Deployment
% Change the (false) values to (true) to enable the following code blocks.
% See the help for each generation function for more information.
if (false)
% Generate MATLAB function for neural network for application
% deployment in MATLAB scripts or with MATLAB Compiler and Builder
% tools, or simply to examine the calculations your trained neural
% network performs.
genFunction(net,'myNeuralNetworkFunction');
y = myNeuralNetworkFunction(x,xi,ai);
end
if (false)
% Generate a matrix-only MATLAB function for neural network code
% generation with MATLAB Coder tools.
genFunction(net,'myNeuralNetworkFunction','MatrixOnly','yes');
x1 = cell2mat(x(1,:));
xi1 = cell2mat(xi(1,:));
y = myNeuralNetworkFunction(x1,xi1);
end
if (false)
% Generate a Simulink diagram for simulation or deployment with.
% Simulink Coder tools.
gensim(net);
end

回答 (1 件)

Hritika Suneja
Hritika Suneja 2020 年 12 月 29 日
You can refer to the following link https://www.mathworks.com/help/deeplearning/gs/neural-network-time-series-prediction-and-modeling.html. It describes how to predict time series forecast using neural networks. Hope it helps !

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